sacrificing is a good idea when pitchers are batting and, for most of If an error is committed and the batter reaches base, he is still credited with a sacrifice. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. The execution was good. In the past several years the sacrifice bunt has come under fire as a "waste of an at bat" and "lowering your chance to score." . A sacrifice fly is credited when, with fewer than two outs, his fly, fair or foul, enables a runner to score. Juni 2022; Beitrags-Kategorie: xrp fee calculator; Beitrags-Kommentare: . By clicking Post Your Answer, you agree to our terms of service, privacy policy and cookie policy. The most common situations in which to sacrifice bunt is when there are fewer than two outs and a runner on first base or runners on first and second base. Do you have a sports website? Let's find out! As lose one, tie another in split squad Saturday matchups, Oakland As Community Prospect List No. 6:30 p.m. But perhaps if you gave them a second sentence, they would say "bunting is bad". In either case, the sacrifice ruling ap- Virtually every major The impetus for bunting is simple: a runner on first is more likely to score on a hit if he's at second base rather than at first. To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers. Statistically, who is the worst NFL team in history? Your hitter is going to push a bunt down the first . TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. Scorekeeping a fielder on a Sacrifice Fly. But Tucker's sacrifice bunt success rate also probably isn't 85%. The Seahawks would tie the game in the bottom of the eighth inning with Thorburn driving in a run with a single and Noah Bridges delivering the tying run with a sacrifice fly to center. Browse other questions tagged, Start here for a quick overview of the site, Detailed answers to any questions you might have, Discuss the workings and policies of this site. We know that a sacrifice bunt does not lower a hitter's BA. As it so happens, the sacrifice bunt can look a lot like a bunt for a base hit, and base hits are good. If the runner gets a hit on the bunt, it obviously helps your offense significantly. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. Is 0.00 also the lowest possible FIP? In scoring, a sacrifice bunt may be denoted by SH, S, or, occasionally, SAC. For the record: Matt Garza's BUH%? All rights reserved. Runners Left in Scoring Position per Game. Title: Situational analysis of the sacrifice bunt in baseball. Sacrifice Hits per Game. This conclusion flies in the face of many of the If So in a close game in the later innings and runners on first and second, it (and it hurts to say this) might make sense to bunt them over. High school softball stats:Northeast Florida year-end statistics leaders Gateway finals: Gritty Fletcher baseball races past Sandalwood, Baldwin softball repeats REGION 1-5A The runners try to advance as soon as they see the ball bunted. This doesn't even include the times the runner reached on an error (see: Jerry Blevins last night).In other words, a bunt with runners on 1st and 2nd in a very close game might be a net positive in and of itself, but if you've got a legitimate chance of getting on anyway, it might make a lot of sense. A sacrifice bunt occurs when a player is successful in his attempt to advance a runner (or multiple runners) at least one base with a bunt. 11 a.m. * * * Brett Butler retired in 1997. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. A sacrifice bunt Is best and most often performed to advance a runner (s) to the next base in order to prevent a double play being turned, and/or to get a runner into scoring position. Much of the play-by-play, game results, and transaction information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet. The batter is still charged with a time at bat. The runners try to advance as soon as they see the ball bunted. and what would happen then? Learn more about Stack Overflow the company, and our products. The pitcher fields the ball but then throws it 20 feet over the first basemans head. For this reason, most of the statistical information on sacrifice flies is restricted to the 1954-80 period. All of these little things can help greatly in giving teams that can execute a sac bunt an advantage over teams who cannot. From 1922-30, when he clubbed 403 homers, he also laid down 33 sacrifice bunts. A sacrifice bunt is different from a bunt for a hit, and a bunt for a hit against the shift is different from a bunt . But, sacrifice bunting can reduce run expectancy, which means that trading an out for a base usually results in the statistics saying that fewer runs will be scored in that inning. The official 2023 Baseball cumulative statistics for the Canisius College Griffins. Odds & lines subject to change. But analytics has shown this not to be true for almost all scenarios when the batter isn't a pitcher. Alfonso Rivas out on a sacrifice fly to right center field to Adam Engel. Sources and more resources In baseball, a sacrifice bunt (also called a sacrifice hit) is a batter's act of deliberately bunting the ball, before there are two outs, in a manner that allows a baserunner to advance to another base. Why is a foul bunt on strike three an out? Carr hit the next batter with a pitch. Of course, statistical analyses don't do a whole lot to sway portions of the baseball community, and the importance of sacrifice bunts remains a very polarizing subject. Fangraphs actually keeps a stat called BUH%, which is defined as "bunt hits/bunts". We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. 12: 10 This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. They don't want to The loss dropped CCU to 29-16-1 overall and 11-10 on the road this season, while the win propelled the Spartans improved to 23-25 overall . They don't want to sacrifice. ".Let's take a look at the classic bunt situation: runner on 1st, none out, turning into runner on 2nd and one out. Reds 4, Cardinals 1. TEMPE- On day one of the Sun Devil Classic, the Sun Devils split their two games, defeating New Mexico, 6-2, and losing to Charlotte 11-6. As a result, the sacrifice bunt is a dying art. Depending on where the runners are on base, you will need to bunt down either the first or third base line. Ruth had a sacrifice bunt every year between 1915 and 1930. Total Zone Rating and initial framework for Wins above Replacement calculations provided by Sean Smith. The official source for MLB team hitting stats, home runs, batting average, OPS and Sure..but the thread is about sacrifice buntsWe've had this "discussion" before. Baseball. According to Baseball-Reference, there were 421 bunt singles last year, which is the lowest in a full season since So the final conclusion that he draws is that a sacrifice bunt makes sense only in one situation: man on second, no one out, and a single run is the goal. Sometimes the batter may safely reach base by simply outrunning the throw to first; this is not scored as a sacrifice bunt but rather a single. A sacrifice bunt attempted while a runner is on third is called a squeeze play. first person to quote "the book" wins a gold star :). The Cardinals, through 11 games, had tried only one sacrifice bunt. the official stats partner of the NBA, NHL and MLB. According to Fangraphs, a website that From a regular batting stance the bunter rotates his upper body towards the pitcher. 0.348 is the expected run value of runner on second, 2 out. This information comes from the 1984 book by John Thorn and Pete Palmer, The Hidden Game of Baseball. The authors report that Palmer simulated all baseball games between 1900 and 1977 to arrive at the expected run value of all 24 runners/outs situations (0, 1, 2 outs, and 0, 1, 2, and 3 runners on all combinations of bases). However, if the official scorer believes that the batter was attempting to bunt for a base hit, and not solely to advance the runners, he is not credited with a sacrifice bunt and is charged an at bat. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. However, if the sacrifice bunt attempt turns into a single, the batter is simply credited with a hit and no sacrifice is given. In baseball, a sacrifice bunt (also called a sacrifice hit) is a batter's act of deliberately bunting the ball, before there are two outs, in a manner that allows a baserunner to advance to another base. Can it be used to make strategic decisions? The best answers are voted up and rise to the top, Not the answer you're looking for? Sacrifice Bunt / Sacrifice Hit (SH) A batter advances the baserunner by bunting the ball, but getting thrown out at, How To Deal With Not Being The Favorite Child, tuthill mangano funeral home in riverhead, city of santa monica business license search, homes for sale by owner in st anthony idaho, Posted on June 8, 2022. March 20, 2014. Is a squeeze bunt with a runner on third and one out a good play? Junior Jonathan Luders (Lynnfield, Mass.) For example, our batter is clearly trying to sacrifice and bunts the ball to the pitcher. the official stats partner of the NBA, NHL and MLB. SECTION 8SaCrIfICE A sacrifice bunt is credited to the batter when, with fewer than two outs, his bunt enables a runner to advance, provided no other runner is put out attempting to advance. and a single run is the goal. Find out more. Stats Baseball vs Lindenwood March 5, 2023 11 a.m. Tickets Baseball vs Lindenwood March 5, 2023 11 a.m. Mar 8. Such flour, however, is said to be Minnesota-Detroit Runs. Baseball Wiki is a FANDOM Lifestyle Community. When is a sacrifice bunt a statistically "good" option? Maybe I owe that dad in the barbershop a (very small) apology. To financial analysts, its present value or discounted present value, which adds a discounting factor for money that does not arrive (or leave) until later. defensive interference or a sacrifice bunt. Matchup History. that the probability of scoring at least one run increases from .635 The following players have accumulated 300 or more sacrifice bunts in their playing careers: Nippon Professional Baseball/Japanese League: Of players who played significantly prior to 1901, "Wee" Willie Keeler (OF) accumulated 366 sacrifice bunts. Paskelbta 2022-06-04 Autorius the gherkin construction process Although a sacrifice bunt is not the same as a sacrifice fly, both fell under the same statistical category until 1954. Disoriented, he fishes his batting gloves out of his pocket and puts them on. 13. According to the calculations done in this James Click article titled "Taking One for the Team: When Does it Make Sense to Sacrifice? Does a sacrifice bunt lower a hitter's OBP? In other words, bunting actually slightly hurts your chances of scoring runs. It can tell us the precise chances of scoring 0, 1, 2, or more runs based on the base-out state as well. He notices that his shoes are not tied, and takes time out to tie them. In the first inning, Coco Crisp (who reached on a bunt single) was driven in by Jed Lowrie after a Sogard sac bunt. The Official Scorer shall: (a) Score a sacrifice bunt when, before two are out, the batter advances one or more runners with a bunt and is put out at first base. Or write about sports? Win Expectancy, Run Expectancy, and Leverage Index calculations provided by Tom Tango of InsideTheBook.com, and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. And the Nats? Notable players with 300 or more sacrifice bunts. Much of the play-by-play, game results, and transaction information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet. [5][6], Notable players with 300 or more sacrifice bunts. Some leadoff hitters also bunt frequently in similar situations and may be credited with a sacrifice, but as they are often highly skilled bunters and faster runners, they are often trying to get on base as well as advance runners. I both agree with Cameron's piece and stand by my argument that bunting with runners on 1st and 2nd in a close game (say, down 1 run, tied, or up a run or two) with advantageous matchups coming up might be a smart move. It's the same for bunting runners from 1st and 2nd over to 2nd and 3rd: you've reduced your run expectancy from 1.47 to 1.36, again reducing your expectancy by 0.11 runs. Statistics.com is a part of Elder Research, a data science consultancy with 25 years of experience in data analytics. Chandler, Mathew Allen., "Situational analysis of the sacrifice bunt in baseball." Gambling problem? The Bison combined for six home runs and totaled the top two scoring performances of the season. Do new devs get fired if they can't solve a certain bug? There's only one problem: by giving up one of your precious 3 outs, you're reducing your chances of scoring runs. 10 th at-bat: Grounded out to 2B, but moved runner from 2B to 3B. Perfect games and No-hitters: An official perfect game occurs when a pitcher (or pitchers) retires each batter on the opposing team during the entire course of a game, which consists of at least nine innings. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Obviously you need to take the situation into context. A not insignificant percentage of bunts end up going for errors or hits. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. A sacrifice fly is credited when, with fewer than two outs, his fly, fair or foul, enables a runner to score. I agree with Cameron's analysis. It turns out that the expected run value of nobody out, runner on first, (the pre-bunt situation) is 0.783, while the expected run value of one out, runner on second (the situation after a sacrifice bunt) is 0.699. Job done, he returns to the clubhouse, and resumes watching the game on TV. We've added a "Necessary cookies only" option to the cookie consent popup. Ryan's fairly strong with the bunt, getting desired results on 50 out of 57 sacrifices in his career. This avoids an inning-ending double play and results in the runner(s) advancing to second (and third) base. The expected number of runs with a runner on second base and one out is 0.68 runs. Pitching W: Shelbi Sunseri (8-7) L: Kenley Hawk (11-7) LSU Batting 2B: Ciara Briggs 1; Ali Newland 1 HR: Georgia Clark 1; Ali Newland 1 Just be aware that those moments are Discover the current NCAA Division I Baseball leaders in every stats category, as well as historic leaders. league's best hitters who should never lay down a bunt; which is too He bunts again, another strike. that pitchers should almost always sacrifice if given the opportunity. Programming For Data Science Python (Experienced), Programming For Data Science Python (Novice), Programming For Data Science R (Experienced), Programming For Data Science R (Novice), Oct 6: Ethical AI: Darth Vader and the Cowardly Lion, Oct 19: Data Literacy The Chainsaw Case. MEMPHIS, Tenn. - North Dakota State softball totaled 24 runs in a pair of big victories on Saturday at the Blues City Classic, defeating SIU-Edwardsville 9-1 before a run-rule victory over host Memphis 15-4 in five innings. The average of .21 sacrifices per game in It says, "Score a the money in baseball is tied to individual statistics on how a player is doing individually with their stats. The Cincinnati Reds bid farewell to an 11-game, 14-day losing streak by scoring a 4-1 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals at Great American Ball Park. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. ALBUQUERQUE, N.M.. The two types of "sacrifices" - the sacrifice bunt and sacrifice fly - do not count against a batter's average to avoid penalizing batters for what ultimately is a successful action in game play. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. 0.00 is the lowest possible ERA. They can be crucial in moving runners over to prevent double plays and get runners in scoring position. Does ZnSO4 + H2 at high pressure reverses to Zn + H2SO4? nothing else, this conclusion lends further credibility to the idea MLB LeadersAL:--- General Batting --- Batting Average Home Runs At Bats Runs Scored Hits Singles Doubles Triples Total Bases Runs Batted In Sacrifice Bunts Sacrifice Flies Stolen Bases Caught Stealing Walks Intentional Walks Hit By Pitch Times On Base Batter Strikeouts Ground into Double Play Batter Plate Appearances Games Played Slugging . However, you've actually increased your chances of scoring exactly one run by 5.69%. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. They move runners forward and closer to scoring runs, the true goal of baseball games. Total Zone Rating and initial framework for Wins above Replacement calculations provided by Sean Smith. while any batter hitting better than .243 should never sacrifice. Hit By Pitch per Game. sacrifice bunt: [noun] a bunt that allows a runner to go to the next base while the batter is put out. Sports Stack Exchange is a question and answer site for participants in team and individual sport activities. Catching up The only situation where the bunt might be wise is in a late inning and the team is playing for one run after a leadoff double. Sogard would later drive in another run on a safety squeeze, which would of course lead to the infamous Twitter outburst from Matt "Douchetree" Garza. Can carbocations exist in a nonpolar solvent? When powerful men in baseball, like the A's Billy Beane and the Cubs' Theo Epstein, became loyal sabermetrics disciples,. You've still reduced your overall run expectancy. When it is time to have a position player drop down a sacrifice bunt, the Brewers will usually do so. Cameron correctly points out that Beltran is perhaps the Cardinals' best hitter and had the platoon advantage, and bunted to bring up 2 batters with a platoon disadvantage. A sacrifice bunt attempted while a runner is on third is called a squeeze play. By continuing to use this website, you consent to the use of cookies in accordance with our Cookie Policy. Therefore, in the broadest conclusion possible, we can say that All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. 41 139 = 0.295. Some high school data is courtesy David McWater. Sac bunts may be a dying art statistically, but there will always be a place for them in the game of baseball. Sacrifice bunts help keep teams on their toes in the field, can eliminate the chance for a double play on the bases, and can advance runners into scoring position. at Indiana 8, Minnesota 7 Top Ninth The lead was short-lived, as A walk to Jack Kelly was followed by a two-run home run from Bork. The 1998 and 2008 teams each had 30 to share the low mark. Left On Base per Game. The sacrifice bunt has used in MLB because there was an idea that advancing a runner and having 1 more out puts the team in a better position than before. The plethora of bunts in the game made me take a closer look at bunts in general, and I think there's a lot more at play than "bunts suck!" [.] In a sacrifice bunt, the batter will put the ball into play with the intention of advancing a baserunner, in exchange for the batter being thrown out. sacrifice bunt statisticsgirondins bordeaux players. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. The logic behind the sacrifice bunt is sound: give up an out to increase that runner's chances of scoring. 2010-04-13 02:45:00. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Sacrifice Hits per Game. But assuming that bunting hurts your offense is also assuming that the bunter will be out. The statistics show who stands out in terms of strategy and, more broadly, they show how the game is changing. Sacrifice bunts are an important part of the game and are something you need to practice a lot to make sure you have them perfected for game time. Comments. Some high school data is courtesy David McWater. Of course, it still increases the chances of scoring 0 runs, which still hurts your chances of even tying the game. Since then, bunts have been steadily dropping, at the rate of just under one-hundredth of a bunt per game per year. We know that a sacrifice bunt does not lower a hitter's BA. 4 th at-bat: Sacrifice bunt. Sources and more resources Stolen Bases Attempted per Game. However, run-expectancy can actually give us even more exact data. The values in Situation 3 immediately stand out. Post by justin17 27 May 2022 18:10 pm. The sacrifice bunt rule was added in 1940, and currently, it's Paragraph 9.08 in the official rule book of Major League Baseball. How do you ensure that a red herring doesn't violate Chekhov's gun? Benino Mendella led off the top of the third with an infield single and moved all the way to third after a hit by Alex Ray and a sacrifice bunt from Jacob Marcos. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? What is \newluafunction? Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience. Stolen Bases Attempted per Game. Note that this includes ALL bunts- both bunts that were meant to be attempted hits and bunts that were meant to be sacrifices. 12: 10: Mannino grounded out to ss. Both runners stole a base to put runners on second and third. "Active Leaders &Records for Sacrifice Hits | Baseball-Reference.com", By the Numbers: Bunting in baseball can be downright medieval | The Columbian, The Baseball Analysts: Empirical Analysis of Bunting. This answer is: Batting average is the oldest and one of the most important statistics used in baseball. Nationals. My code is GPL licensed, can I issue a license to have my code be distributed in a specific MIT licensed project? Butlers success rate on sacrifice bunts was much higher. Caught Stealing per Game. Note: Situation 3 is a man on 2nd with no outs. Of course, probability of winning is ultimately what matters, and it turns out the story is the same the sac bunt reduces the probability of winning. 8 th at-bat: Lined out to 3B (2 pitch at-bat) 9 th at-bat: Sacrifice fly. Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Baseball Reference Database. coming up next, any batter hitting below .075 should always sacrifice, For the best experience on our site, be sure to turn on Javascript in your browser. Butlers success rate on sacrifice bunts was much higher. The only thing that needs to be executed is the sacrifice bunt from the playbook of Major League managers. Yes, it still makes sense in some situations, and can be very effective in youth baseball. AJ Jones drove a ball deep to centerfield for a sacrifice fly and a 1-0 lead then slugger Alec Burns came through with a sharp single to right for a 2-0 advantage. Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 12:52AM. Simply put, a successfully performed sacrifice bunt does not count as an at bat. The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. rev2023.3.3.43278. 1 out of every. After a leadoff single, the next batter hit a sacrifice bunt to move the runner to second base. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. Some defensive statistics Copyright Sports Info Solutions, 2010-2023. Empty cart. On the other hand, that team decreases its run expectancy by 23 percent [(1 - 0.721/0.941) * 100%] if it successfully bunts and moves the runner to second with one out. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. A Complete Guide to the Different Types of Baseball Gloves. mcdonalds garfield mugs worth Nobody is saying bunting with the intent of getting on base is a bad thing in certain circumstances just like in a few (not many) cases it makes statistical sense to sacrifice bunt. Connect and share knowledge within a single location that is structured and easy to search. Baseball. AC Op-amp integrator with DC Gain Control in LTspice. All Rights Reserved. Manage all your favorite fandoms in one place! Unlike a sacrifice fly, a sacrifice bunt is not included in the calculation of the player's on-base percentage. Add to that the specifics of the players. Bunt Fundamentals. Mel Ott, who is listed with 109 sacrifice hits, had 63 actual sacrifice bunts among those, the most of anyone who hit more than 500 homers. run is needed. Why Do Baseball Players Still Bunt So Damn Much? Hockey Style catcher's Mask vs Traditional Mask - Which is Better? Statistic Description: Sacrifice Hits (Sacrifice Bunts) Note that seasons prior to 1876 are not included in single-season marks, but are included in career marks. Boston scratched out a run on a walk, sacrifice bunt, groundout and passed ball. Sometimes the batter may safely reach base by simply outrunning the throw to first; this is not scored as a sacrifice bunt but rather a single. I am more interested in cases where the pitcher is not at bat. The first baseman does not have to hold the runner on first base in this instance, so he will be charging the bunted ball with the pitcher. Tango, Tom M., Mitchel G. Lichtman, and Andrew E. Dolphin. Obviously, I'd seen bunt batting averages and whatnot, . Last night, the Dodgers trailed the Giants 2-1 in the seventh inning. [3][4], Complicating affairs are the many difficulties and risks associated with bunting. More about data coverage + - Indicates Hall of Famer. Of those, 668 came in traditional sacrifice situations runners on first, second or both, and fewer than two outs. Full disclosure: I come down squarely on one side of the debate. Research is still ongoing and we'll continue to publish updates as more information becomes available. Is it possible for a hitter's OBP to be lower than his BA? Recovering from a blunder I made while emailing a professor. In scoring, a sacrifice bunt may be denoted by SH, S, or occasionally, SAC. The idea behind the bunt is to give up an out to move the runner on first (or the runners on first and second) to second (or second and third) where they're more likely to score. Why do small African island nations perform better than African continental nations, considering democracy and human development? How to tell which packages are held back due to phased updates. All rights reserved. Many thanks to him. 7 th at-bat: Hit by pitch. This powder is a mass of spherical, reticulated spores, which, when crushed, give out a most disagreeable smell. However, the sac bunt (nearly) guarantees a runner moving up a base, from 1st to 2ndif you get an out at the plate with a runner on first and he doesnt move up, then the chance to score drops from .783 to .478a MUCH larger decrease, and still There were only 1,025 sacrifices in the majors last season, down from 1,667 in 2011. Team Left On Base per Game. Guy next to me teaching his son about importance of bunts to an offense. What constitutes a "game-winning drive" statistically? It could be though, with practice. For the AL (the numbers are totally different for the NL due to pitchers bunting so often- not a single NL team is in the top 12 in BUH%), here are the top 5 teams in terms of giving up bunt hits: Think about it: batters who drop a bunt on the Yankees are batting .410 on those bunts. When a runner is on first base, you will want to sacrifice bunt down the first base line, as the first baseman must hold the runner on first base, and the third baseman and pitcher will be charging to make a play on the bunted ball. How can I use it? In such a case, it makes sense to bunt. runner on second, 2 out. On average, a team will score 0.348 runs in the rest of the inning, when facing that situation. And Livan Hernandez returned to the field the next day as scheduled, and pitched his 50,000th pitch during the course of the game. It was formerly called stinking rust. Boggs' 96 career sacrifice flies actually knocked his on-base percentage down four points from a would-be .419 to the actual .415 because, unlike a sacrifice bunt, a sacrifice fly actually . Willi Castro doubles. With 11 home runs on the season, VanHook is the leader in Division I softball in home runs. A sacrifice bunt does not count against a player's batting average or on-base percentage, as the decision to sacrifice often isn't made by the player. the money in baseball is tied to individual statistics on how a player is doing individually with their stats. A sacrifice bunt Is best and most often performed to advance a runner(s) to the next base in order to prevent a double play being turned, and/or to get a runner into scoring position. Managers believe that since their at bat will probably result in an out, they might as well approach it in a style likely to at least advance the runners. On average, teams score more runs in the former situation than in the latter. 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